Elections Are Math
The Science of the Ground Game
Winning is Applied Statistics
A lot of people think running for office is just about giving great speeches and having the best ideas. But political science tells us a different story: elections are won on data, targeting, and logistics.
Campaigns don't just guess who will vote for them. They look at voter history and demographics to build models. A good campaign manager knows exactly how many votes they need to win before election day even starts. This is called calculating your "Win Number."
The "Get Out The Vote" Funnel
Once you have your Win Number, you have to do the hardest part: Get Out The Vote (GOTV). This means knocking on doors and making phone calls. But here is the catch—most people aren't home, and even if they are, they might not agree to vote for you.
- Contact Rate: The percentage of doors you knock on where someone actually answers. (Usually around 15-25%).
- Action Rate: The percentage of people who answer the door that actually agree to vote for you. (Often around 10-20%).
Campaign Field Simulator
Enter your campaign goals below to see how many doors your volunteers actually need to knock on to secure a victory.
Your Strategy